2018 NFL Projections: FPI’s 1-32 ranking, Odds For Super Bowl

Despite losing the Super Bowl to the Nick Foles-led Eagles and despite an offseason filled with questions about stability at the top of the organization, the Patriots remain the best team in the NFL and the favorite to win Super Bowl LIII, according to our FPI projections with 100 days to go until the regular season.

But this isn’t a repeat of last season, when we considered the Patriots the runaway top team in the NFL to the point that they had a coin-flip chance to reach the Super Bowl.

This time around, New England may still be the best, but it is really a part of a three-team tier of the NFL’s elite. The other two teams to make up the league’s upper crust? The Eagles and Steelers.

So what makes the FPI like the Patriots, Eagles and Steelers? You can read more about the process here, but the model considers each team’s win total at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, how that team performed on offense, defense and special teams last season, how many starters are returning, and who the starting and backup quarterbacks are.

The Eagles finished last season first in total efficiency across the game’s three phases, but despite that and the fact that Brady is 40 years old, New England grabbed the top spot in part due to its higher Vegas win total.

It’s also no surprise that the Patriots, Steelers and Eagles are also the three most likely teams to win the Super Bowl. READ MORE>

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